
Female, Hispanic and a strong personal narrative - Obama's decision to nominate Sonia Sotomayor has certainly pressed all the right buttons in the liberal movement, politically speaking. What we don't have a clear picture of at the moment, however, is what impact her judicial philosophy might have on the future shape and direction of the Court.
The Liberal reaction has been fairly predictable but with Sotomayor nominated much of the spotlight will now fall on the GOP to see how they will play her nomination in the Senate.
The Conservative reaction on the blogs has been varied. Crunchy Con Rod Dreher declared that,
"Whatever there is to say about her judicial philosophy, you'd have to have a heart of stone not to be moved by this moment, and what Judge Sotomayor said here. This is a great country."
David Frum over at New Majority was less than impressed however,
"What Obama did not do: pick the most learned or intelligent or wisest lawyer available to him. What he did do: pick the justice he deemed most likely to secure him a demographic constituency in 2008. This is pure Chicagoland politics, using one of the president's most important powers for the most narrow partisan purposes."
Mark Steyn at National Reviews the corner stated boldly that, "Justice Sotomayor will not be good news for the United States constitution."
However, John Mark Reynolds at the Scriptorium has offered Republicans some sound advice on how to play the Sotomayor nomination:
"Unless conservatives learn something new about her those who favor a less activist court might as well keep their powder dry for another fight.
Why?
First, conservatives have very limited power in Congress. This is not a fight conservatives can win unless something new comes out about Sonia Sotomayor.
Second, stopping Sonia Sotomayor would just lead to a different appointment that will probably be worse. While she was not really the choice of President George H.W. Bush, she was the choice of Senator Daniel Moynihan (in a deal with the first President Bush over New York appointments) and Moynihan was a reasonable person who was unpredictable in some of his left-of-center views.
Of all the appointments President Obama was likely to make (imagine the horrific governor of Michigan on the Court!), this one has the best chance to pull a reverse-Souter (a drift right) and present some pleasant surprises to conservatives. Of course, Sonia Sotomayor is likely going to be a conventional liberal, but she has staked out few opinions on hot-button social issues.
Third, Sonia Sotomayor is unlikely to change the intellectual drift of court opinions. She replaces Souter, a left-of-center mediocrity, and is, from all reports, smart, but not an ideological “difference maker” in her opinion writing. If Souter can sit on the Court, then why can’t Sonia Sotomayor?
Fourth, opposing the first Latina on the courts is bad politics with no possible gain.
Fifth, there are other big issues before Congress right now where conservatives can make a difference. Hugh Hewitt has pointed out medicine as one such area. Limited resources should be used in winnable fights."
Perhaps Obama has calculated that the GOP wouldn't be so stupid tactically and strategically as to oppose an Hispanic, Female nominee who most swing voters are probably going to support.
Frum and Steyn might be right in their analysis but it cannot form the basis of a GOP Senate strategy to deal with the nomination. They simply don't have the numbers.
I don't agree with her judicial philosophy but this is a good political move by Obama.




